Final Score: Marlins 4 - Phillies 10
Sunday, October 3, 2004 at 1:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
83-78 Rating 1522
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Phillies
85-76 Rating 1520
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 83 91
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 5.0
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.8
Win percentage 52% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 51%