Final Score: Pirates 6 - Phillies 1
Monday, September 27, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
69-86 Rating 1455
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
81-74 Rating 1518
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 275 251
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 155 155
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.9
Win percentage 45% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 50%