Final Score: Phillies 12 - Marlins 4
Wednesday, September 22, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
77-73 Rating 1511
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Marlins
79-71 Rating 1527
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 87 82
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.9 4.7
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 150 150
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 51% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 54%