Final Score: Phillies 9 - Marlins 8
Thursday, September 23, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
78-73 Rating 1513
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Marlins
79-72 Rating 1525
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 88 82
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 4.7
Last meeting 12 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 151 151
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.3
Win percentage 52% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 53%