Final Score: Mets 6 - Phillies 16
Wednesday, September 28, 2005 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
80-77 Rating 1494
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
84-74 Rating 1526
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 306 313
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 157 158
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.9
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.5
Win percentage 51% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 56%