Final Score: Red Sox 11 - Marlins 5
Saturday, July 1, 2006 at 6:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
48-29 Rating 1578
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.5
Marlins
35-41 Rating 1503
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Marlins
All-time wins 11 8
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 6.6 4.9
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Marlins
Games played 77 76
Avg runs scored 5.6 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 62% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 50%