Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Marlins 3
Sunday, July 2, 2006 at 1:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
49-29 Rating 1580
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.5
Marlins
35-42 Rating 1501
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Marlins
All-time wins 12 8
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 6.8 5.0
Last meeting 11 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Marlins
Games played 78 77
Avg runs scored 5.7 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.6
Win percentage 63% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 49%