Final Score: Phillies 1 - Nationals 3
Thursday, September 28, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
83-75 Rating 1532
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Nationals
70-88 Rating 1472
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 326 311
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 8 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.4
Win percentage 53% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 52%