Final Score: Phillies 4 - Reds 1
Saturday, April 21, 2007 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
4-11 Rating 1514
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Reds
9-8 Rating 1477
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Reds
All-time wins 170 235
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.7
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Reds
Games played 15 17
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.2
Win percentage 27% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 55%