Final Score: Nationals 3 - Marlins 9
Saturday, April 21, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
6-11 Rating 1464
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
6-10 Rating 1493
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 100 113
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 17 16
Avg runs scored 3.1 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.5
Win percentage 35% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 33%