Final Score: Nationals 2 - Marlins 5
Saturday, July 14, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
37-52 Rating 1458
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
42-48 Rating 1490
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 104 115
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 14 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 89 90
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.2
Win percentage 42% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 40%