Final Score: Astros 6 - Cubs 7
Sunday, July 15, 2007 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
39-52 Rating 1487
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Cubs
46-43 Rating 1482
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 263 224
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 3 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 91 89
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.2
Win percentage 43% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 51%