Final Score: Astros 3 - Pirates 7
Saturday, July 21, 2007 at 7:15 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
41-55 Rating 1486
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Pirates
40-55 Rating 1440
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 252 233
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 96 95
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.9
Win percentage 43% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 34% 44%