Final Score: Nationals 3 - Phillies 4
Tuesday, July 24, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
42-56 Rating 1460
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
50-48 Rating 1523
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 314 329
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 98 98
Avg runs scored 3.8 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.2
Win percentage 43% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 52%