Final Score: Nationals 7 - Phillies 6
Thursday, July 26, 2007 at 1:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
42-58 Rating 1457
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
52-48 Rating 1526
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 314 331
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 5 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 100 100
Avg runs scored 3.8 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.1
Win percentage 42% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 54%