Final Score: Phillies 6 - Pirates 11
Saturday, August 18, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
65-56 Rating 1531
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Pirates
50-70 Rating 1438
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 264 282
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 11 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 121 120
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.2
Win percentage 54% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 43%