Final Score: Phillies 4 - Pirates 8
Sunday, August 19, 2007 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
65-57 Rating 1529
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Pirates
51-70 Rating 1440
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 264 283
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 6 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 122 121
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.2
Win percentage 53% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 44%