Final Score: Yankees 11 - Orioles 10
Saturday, September 29, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
92-68 Rating 1571
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.9
Orioles
69-91 Rating 1456
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Orioles
All-time wins 323 257
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 9 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Orioles
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 5.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.3
Win percentage 57% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 44%