Final Score: Marlins 6 - Cubs 8
Friday, May 1, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Marlins @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
14-8 Rating 1505
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
10-11 Rating 1520
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cubs
All-time wins 74 68
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.9
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cubs
Games played 22 21
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.0
Win percentage 64% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 69% 44%