Final Score: Marlins 4 - Cubs 6
Sunday, May 3, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Marlins @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
14-10 Rating 1501
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
12-11 Rating 1523
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cubs
All-time wins 74 70
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.9
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cubs
Games played 24 23
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.8
Win percentage 58% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 55%