Final Score: Nationals 11 - Dodgers 9
Thursday, May 7, 2009 at 10:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
8-18 Rating 1422
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +1.3
Dodgers
21-8 Rating 1526
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Dodgers
All-time wins 179 245
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.6 4.4
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Dodgers
Games played 26 29
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.6
Avg runs conceded 6.0 3.7
Win percentage 31% 72%
Away win % / Home win % 15% 100%