Final Score: Reds 3 - Padres 5
Friday, May 15, 2009 at 10:05 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
20-14 Rating 1482
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Padres
13-22 Rating 1447
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 309 250
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.0
Last meeting 9 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 34 35
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.2
Win percentage 59% 37%
Away win % / Home win % 72% 57%