Final Score: Reds 5 - Padres 6
Saturday, May 16, 2009 at 10:05 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
20-15 Rating 1480
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Padres
14-22 Rating 1449
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 309 251
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 35 36
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.2
Win percentage 57% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 68% 60%