Final Score: Padres 5 - Astros 12
Sunday, May 10, 2009 at 2:05 PM ET

Padres @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
13-18 Rating 1453
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.7
Astros
13-18 Rating 1495
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Astros
All-time wins 269 298
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.9 4.0
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Astros
Games played 31 31
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.6
Win percentage 42% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 41%