Final Score: Cubs 8 - Astros 5
Thursday, May 7, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
15-12 Rating 1526
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Astros
11-17 Rating 1494
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Astros
All-time wins 240 278
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Astros
Games played 27 28
Avg runs scored 4.8 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.7
Win percentage 56% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 36%