Final Score: Cubs 6 - Astros 3
Wednesday, May 6, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
14-12 Rating 1524
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.1
Astros
11-16 Rating 1496
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Astros
All-time wins 239 278
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 11 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Astros
Games played 26 27
Avg runs scored 4.7 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.6
Win percentage 54% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 38%