Final Score: Phillies 10 - Nationals 6
Friday, May 15, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
16-16 Rating 1541
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Nationals
12-21 Rating 1427
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 353 326
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 32 33
Avg runs scored 5.4 5.2
Avg runs conceded 5.4 6.1
Win percentage 50% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 46%