Final Score: Phillies 8 - Nationals 6
Sunday, May 17, 2009 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
19-16 Rating 1546
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Nationals
12-24 Rating 1422
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 356 326
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 35 36
Avg runs scored 5.7 5.2
Avg runs conceded 5.4 6.3
Win percentage 54% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 73% 38%