Final Score: Pirates 7 - Marlins 4
Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
36-43 Rating 1441
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.9
Marlins
41-39 Rating 1499
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Marlins
All-time wins 74 60
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Marlins
Games played 79 80
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.9
Win percentage 46% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 53%