Final Score: Pirates 3 - Marlins 5
Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
37-43 Rating 1443
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.8
Marlins
41-40 Rating 1497
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Marlins
All-time wins 75 60
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Marlins
Games played 80 81
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.9
Win percentage 46% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 52%