Final Score: Mets 2 - Phillies 7
Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
39-39 Rating 1516
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
39-37 Rating 1536
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 338 344
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 78 76
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.1
Win percentage 50% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 37%