Final Score: Astros 3 - Cubs 12
Thursday, July 30, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
51-50 Rating 1503
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
53-46 Rating 1523
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 282 245
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 0 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 101 99
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.1
Win percentage 50% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 63%