Final Score: Astros 11 - Cubs 6
Tuesday, July 28, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
50-49 Rating 1503
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
52-45 Rating 1524
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 281 244
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 99 97
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 51% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 63%