Final Score: Cubs 10 - Phillies 5
Wednesday, July 22, 2009 at 1:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
47-45 Rating 1515
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Phillies
53-38 Rating 1557
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Phillies
All-time wins 263 292
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Phillies
Games played 92 91
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.6
Win percentage 51% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 51%