Final Score: Pirates 7 - Phillies 8
Saturday, July 11, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
38-48 Rating 1438
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.4
Phillies
46-38 Rating 1545
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 286 269
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 86 84
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.8
Win percentage 44% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 34% 47%