Final Score: Pirates 2 - Phillies 5
Sunday, July 12, 2009 at 1:35 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
38-49 Rating 1437
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.4
Phillies
47-38 Rating 1546
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 286 270
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 7 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 87 85
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.8
Win percentage 44% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 48%