Final Score: Reds 6 - Phillies 9
Thursday, July 9, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
41-42 Rating 1473
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
44-38 Rating 1542
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Phillies
All-time wins 241 183
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Phillies
Games played 83 82
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.8
Win percentage 49% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 44%