Final Score: Pirates 2 - Phillies 3
Friday, July 10, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
38-47 Rating 1439
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.3
Phillies
45-38 Rating 1543
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 286 268
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 85 83
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.8
Win percentage 45% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 45%