Final Score: Cubs 3 - Nationals 1
Friday, July 17, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
44-43 Rating 1514
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Nationals
26-62 Rating 1398
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Nationals
All-time wins 261 284
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Nationals
Games played 87 88
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.6
Win percentage 51% 30%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 37%