Final Score: Nationals 5 - Astros 6
Friday, July 10, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
25-59 Rating 1399
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +1.3
Astros
42-43 Rating 1500
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Astros
All-time wins 186 233
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.9 4.3
Last meeting 4 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Astros
Games played 84 85
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.7 4.5
Win percentage 30% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 21% 50%