Final Score: Nationals 13 - Astros 2
Saturday, July 11, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
25-60 Rating 1398
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +1.3
Astros
43-43 Rating 1502
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Astros
All-time wins 186 234
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.9 4.3
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Astros
Games played 85 86
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.7 4.5
Win percentage 29% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 21% 51%