Final Score: Braves 9 - Nationals 8
Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:35 PM ET

Braves @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
38-40 Rating 1480
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.5
Nationals
23-54 Rating 1402
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Nationals
All-time wins 283 252
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Nationals
Games played 78 77
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.7
Win percentage 49% 30%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 36%