Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Nationals 4
Wednesday, June 24, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
43-27 Rating 1580
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
67%
33%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.5
Nationals
21-48 Rating 1406
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Nationals
All-time wins 12 7
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.9 4.3
Last meeting 11 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Nationals
Games played 70 69
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.7
Win percentage 61% 30%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 35%