Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Nationals 9
Thursday, June 25, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
44-27 Rating 1582
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
67%
33%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.5
Nationals
21-49 Rating 1405
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Nationals
All-time wins 13 7
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 5.9 4.3
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Nationals
Games played 71 70
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.7
Win percentage 62% 30%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 34%