Final Score: Red Sox 11 - Nationals 3
Tuesday, June 23, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
42-27 Rating 1579
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
66%
34%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.5
Nationals
21-47 Rating 1407
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Nationals
All-time wins 11 7
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.6 4.3
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Nationals
Games played 69 68
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.6
Win percentage 61% 31%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 36%