Final Score: Cubs 6 - Nationals 2
Thursday, July 16, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
43-43 Rating 1512
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Nationals
26-61 Rating 1399
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Nationals
All-time wins 260 284
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Nationals
Games played 86 87
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.6
Win percentage 50% 30%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 38%