Final Score: Cubs 6 - Nationals 5
Saturday, July 18, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
45-43 Rating 1515
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Nationals
26-63 Rating 1396
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Nationals
All-time wins 262 284
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Nationals
Games played 88 89
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.6
Win percentage 51% 29%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 36%