Final Score: Phillies 6 - Marlins 5
Friday, July 17, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
49-38 Rating 1549
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Marlins
46-45 Rating 1497
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 137 119
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 4.7
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 87 91
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.7
Win percentage 56% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 53%