Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Orioles 5
Friday, July 31, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
59-42 Rating 1567
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Orioles
44-57 Rating 1453
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 335 262
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 101 101
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.2
Win percentage 58% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 55%