Final Score: Mets 4 - Cubs 11
Saturday, August 29, 2009 at 4:10 PM ET

Mets @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
58-71 Rating 1487
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
64-62 Rating 1510
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Cubs
All-time wins 281 267
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Cubs
Games played 129 126
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.3
Win percentage 45% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 61%